Autonomous driving is heading towards an era of widespread use

The dispute between He Xiaopeng and Yu Dazui ended with He Xiaopeng thanking Lao Yu. In recent years, autonomous driving has become a topic that continues to attract attention and has always been very hot.

Sometimes I myself think that if I buy a car myself, I will return to the basic attributes of my next car and buy a particularly cheap mobility scooter. Or pursue radicalness and buy a high-end smart driving car that can support L2+ or even L2++. This goes back to the high-end smart driving order rate I saw before. If there is no shortage of money, then it must be full of configurations and go directly to the highest level smart driving. If you are short on money, you definitely need to pursue cost-effectiveness. This cost-effectiveness is what the money I spend can bring me.

Before the arrival of L5, I think all autonomous driving functions are only to reduce human driving burden, replace human driving behavior, and do not improve traffic efficiency (but if the three aunts on the road are replaced with L4 autonomous driving, it may still be possible) Improve traffic efficiency a little). So what is the best way to do the job of replacing people, that is, to be like people and have the same driving efficiency as people.

But from the current point of view, only in closed road scenarios such as expressways or highways, without traffic participants such as pedestrians, non-motor vehicles, and traffic lights, can assisted driving just catch up with the efficiency of manual driving. For urban NDA, no matter how effective the promotional videos of various brands are, no matter how reasonable the planning path is, it is just the side they want you to see. As for the real experience, I learned from several people who have tested the high-end smart driving functions of different brands that the effect is still relatively awkward, and various incorrect judgments, sudden braking and other abnormal situations occurred in endlessly during the test drive. Not only does it not reduce people's driving burden, but it greatly increases people's heart rate.

So based on my personal needs and understanding, if autonomous driving cannot achieve the efficiency of my own driving, it cannot quickly identify abnormal situations on the road and switch lanes to find a better route. Then this autonomous driving may be like a little girl with a love brain, with a moment of novelty and curiosity. Once time passes, you may find that it cannot bring you higher efficiency at all, and then this autonomous driving will be shelved and never used again. Will call it out for use. And once he makes one or two misjudgments in some simple road conditions, he may never turn around. Therefore, I think to evaluate whether an autonomous driving system is good enough, you must have a long-term experience, at least a week, so that you can fully experience and feel whether this function is suitable for you.

I think the main function of autonomous driving will remain at the high-speed NDA level for a long time to come. What car companies need to do most is to polish the autonomous driving experience on high speeds or on closed roads so that it can be infinitely close to human driving efficiency. In addition, we will reduce the cost of related autonomous driving kits, make high-speed NDA vehicles as popular as possible, and increase the adoption rate. In this way, in the next five to ten years, more and more people will have the willingness and opportunity to experience and accept high-level autonomous driving. In this process, many successors will inevitably emerge in the development of urban NDA, but who will have the last laugh depends only on who can survive in the next five to ten years.

Recommended in the past