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We recently received not only Intel's internal client CPU roadmap, we also received an internal server roadmap that stretches all the way to 2024. Before I start sharing the details of this roadmap, I must clarify that this roadmap is based on current thinking and may change in the future. Semiconductor companies, especially Intel, will change course when necessary. But I think this roadmap is valuable.
Competitiveness
There is something I have never seen on this roadmap: competitiveness. Intel ties each processor to a competitive level, from losing to winning. This roadmap will not only tell us when it will be launched, but also when Intel thinks it can completely crush competitors AMD and emerging ARM server companies.
2021
Everything will go as we expected: Ice Lake SP debuts and Sapphire Rapids SP (which doesn’t seem to be the HBM variant) will be launched at the end of the year. Cooper Lake will also appear in 2021, and Intel does not consider these products to be competitive at all. Unless something is canceled, there will be no big surprises in 2021.
2022
This will be an interesting year, Sapphire Rapids continues to deploy multiple transformative products, but I must point out that it will not replace Ice Lake SP. Ice Lake SP has been around for a long time. In any case, Sapphire Rapids HBM should be released around mid-2022, and the more mainstream Sapphire Rapids E/EE will be released at the end of the year. Intel believes that Sapphire Rapids is very competitive.
The following paragraph has been updated since publication
Additionally, it seems that some of the Sapphire Rapid CPUs have been completely canceled as Intel cancelled one of the dies, or was developing one. This die may be the one that others have reported enabling the 72 core configuration. Their XCC die, which is supposed to be their highest end die, has also been delayed by about 2-3 months.
There is one more CPU coming in 2022: Emerald Rapids (I believe this is the first time this codename has been leaked). It will be announced in late 2022 on the Eagle Stream platform, the same as Sapphire Rapids. It may be a recent addition, or it may be a rebrand of Sapphire Rapids or something. However, maybe there is something else. Intel does not think this CPU is particularly competitive and is not as good as Sapphire Rapids, which may be because AMD will have Genoa in 2022.
2023
The rumored Granite Rapids will arrive in 2023. This is a 7nm CPU that will debut on the Birch Stream platform in early 2023. However, Granite Rapids actually has two versions - SP and AP. You read that right, AP is returning, which seems to be in the same vein as CascadeLake AP, as Cascade Lake AP is also on the roadmap. Granite Rapids SP will arrive in the second half of 2023, and Intel believes that Granite Rapids SP is not only competitive but also a successful product.
There was also Sierra Forest AP that year, but there seemed to be no 7nm Sierra Forest SP. Intel believes that Sierra Forest AP is very competitive and plans to release it at the end of the year.
2024
Intel plans to launch Diamond Rapids in 2024, with both SP and AP versions. Diamond Rapids may be 7nm or 5nm. Intel is very confident in Diamond Rapids and believes it will be their most competitive product in many years. At this stage, Intel may think that neither AMD nor Arm's server CPU suppliers can compete with it.
As I said before, roadmaps can change, especially from Intel. But in the long run, Intel clearly sees a path to victory. We'll have to see if this plays out the way Intel expects.
*Disclaimer: This article is originally written by the author. The content of the article is the author's personal opinion. Semiconductor Industry Observer reprints it only to convey a different point of view. It does not mean that Semiconductor Industry Observer agrees or supports this point of view. If you have any objections, please contact Semiconductor Industry Observer.
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