1. China's installed camera volume will reach 75.4 million by 2025
Number of cameras installed in passenger cars in China from 2021 to 2022 (10,000 units)
Source: Zoss Automotive Research Database
It is estimated that the number of cameras installed in China will reach 75.4 million in 2025. The main driving factors are:
Policy driven The national level and various cities are actively introducing policies related to autonomous driving to promote the development and commercialization of the autonomous driving industry. On March 1, 2022, China officially implemented the new national standard "Automotive Driving Automation Classification"; On August 1, Shenzhen officially implemented the "Regulations on the Management of Intelligent Connected Vehicles in the Shenzhen Special Economic Zone", allowing fully autonomous vehicles to be legally on the road; On September 5, Shanghai issued the "Shanghai Implementation Plan for Accelerating the Innovation and Development of Intelligent Connected Vehicles", which plans to initially build a domestic leading innovation and development system for intelligent connected vehicles by 2025.
OEM drive
Installation rate of L2 and above autonomous driving functions in Chinese passenger cars from 2020 to H1 2022
(Note: L2+=L2+L2.5+L2.9) Source: Zoss Automotive Research Database
Traditional OEMs adopt the approach of cooperating with technology companies or launching new brands to develop autonomous driving. For example, BYD reached cooperation with NVIDIA and Baidu in February and March 2022, respectively. NVIDIA will provide intelligent driving technology, and Baidu will provide a complete L3-level intelligent driving solution. In March 2022, GAC launched a new electric brand e:NP and its first product, Jipai 1, to enter the "electrification" market. The car supports L3-level intelligent driving. New car manufacturers focus on self-development. Wei, Xiaopeng and Li Auto have all started the road of full-stack self-development of software and algorithms. XPilot driving assistance system , which is fully self-developed by Xpeng Motors, has been continuously upgraded and has now entered the XPilot 3.5 era, which can achieve L3 level autonomous driving. XPilot 4 is currently installed on the G9 and plans to complete the transition to autonomous driving in 2026.
3. Car cameras enter the 8-megapixel era
The proportion of 8-megapixel cameras in models launched in 2022 will increase; for example, the Ideal L9 and NIO ES7, which will be launched in June 2022, are both equipped with 11 cameras, of which the L9 has 6 8-megapixel cameras and the ES7 has 7 8-megapixel cameras; the WM M7, which will be launched in the fourth quarter of 2022, is equipped with a total of 11 cameras, of which 7 are 8-megapixel cameras, which can achieve full intelligent coverage of "community parking-urban roads-intercity highways" vehicle use scenarios.
8-megapixel camera layout for models launched in 2022
Source: Public information compilation
Layout of 8-megapixel cameras by some domestic suppliers
Source: Public information compilation
4. 3D sensing technology
As the mainstream technical solutions for 3D sensing, structured light and ToF technologies have become the hot spots for technical research and development of major automotive lens manufacturers. O-Film is currently the main supplier of 3D sensing modules in China. It entered this field in 2017 and simultaneously developed structured light and ToF solutions. It was the first to realize the mass production of automotive ToF visual perception modules on the Wenjie M5 released in March 2022, which was the first mass production in the automotive industry.
ArcSoft's latest 3D ToF gesture interaction technology will also be launched on the Ideal L9 in June 2022. Oruida's 3D ToF smart cockpit solution will be released in September 2022.
5. As an important part of the smart cockpit, the installation volume of DMS/OMS will enter a stage of substantial increase
In the first half of 2022, the DMS assembly volume was 384,000, a year-on-year increase of 141.8%. The current mainstream DMS solutions can be divided into cockpit integrated and independent hardware. The cockpit integrated solution has rich functions in terms of entertainment functions, social media functions, mobile phone interconnection and other functional characteristics; the independent hardware solution can meet the requirements of L2+ and L3 level autonomous driving in terms of functional safety level, and effectively monitor the human-machine co-driving status. The mainstream suppliers of independent hardware solutions include Neusoft Rich, Hirain, Zhihua Technology, O-Film, Hikvision Auto, etc. Among them, Neusoft Rich's independent hardware DMS products have implemented functional safety development in accordance with the ISO2 6262 standard ASIL-B level in terms of system, hardware, and software, and realized the deployment of full-chain information security modules for controllers, vehicles, cloud, and mobile phones, and are interconnected with the L3-level intelligent driving domain controller of the whole vehicle. It has now been mass-produced and installed on mainstream models of many automobile companies.
For example, in April 2022, Desay SV released the in-vehicle intelligent computer "Aurora", which achieved the leap from domain controller to central computing platform. It is a cabin-driver fusion solution based on multiple SoC chips, integrating multiple functional domains such as smart cockpit, intelligent driving, and connected services at the functional level.
Desay SV Central Computer Platform Aurora
In June 2022, Jidu released an automotive robot concept car, which is based on the self-developed SOA cabin-driving fusion technology architecture to achieve computing power sharing, perception sharing, and service sharing. The smart cabin domain controller can support system-level safety redundancy in the event of failure of the smart driving system, and the smart driving domain controller can support AI interaction of the smart cabin's 3D human-machine co-driving map.
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