Scaling Law encounters bottleneck, OpenAI is exposed to betting on intelligent agent "Operator"

Yishui from Aofei Temple
Quantum Bit | Public Account QbitAI

After Anthropic, OpenAI is also going to take over human computers? !

Just now, Bloomberg revealed that OpenAI will launch Agent " Operator " in January next year to automatically perform tasks for users.

We are also very familiar with the formula. We only need to give simple instructions on the computer, and the agent can automatically help us code and develop applications, order food, make strategies, etc.

Well, everyone can see at a glance that this is going to be a fight with the old rival Anthropic!

This will compete with Anthropic's computer use API (Anthropic previously released a computer use function, claiming to take over human computers)

In fact, at a recent Reddit Q&A event, CEO Altman vowed:

Agents will be the next big breakthrough.

At the same time, OpenAI Chief Product Officer Kevin Weil further stated that allowing ChatGPT to perform tasks autonomously will be a major focus next year.

However, in addition to Anthropic, which is "far ahead", OpenAI's other rival, Google, has already revealed that it will release its own version of AI Agent in December.

Domestic model manufacturers such as Baidu Zhipu have also launched similar intelligent agents and solutions. Even mobile phone manufacturers such as Honor and Xiaomi have released their own AI operating systems.

As a result, the pressure also came to OpenAI.

Although it is possible to launch it in January next year if we rush to launch it, some netizens still sharply complained that it is too late!

Netizen: January is too late

According to Bloomberg, OpenAI plans to launch an agent code-named "Operator" in January next year .

Its function is similar to the computer use released by Anthropic in October, which claims to free human hands and operate the computer on behalf of the user.

For example, if you want it to make a travel guide, after a command is issued, the Agent can automatically open Google to search for location and weather, and give a practical plan based on the user's schedule.

In addition, according to an insider at OpenAI, at a staff meeting on Wednesday, a leader announced:

The feature will be released as an early preview (initially designed to perform tasks in a web browser) and will initially only be available as an API to developers .

According to leaks, OpenAI has actually been advancing many Agent projects at the same time, and Operator may be the one closest to success.

As of press time, OpenAI has not responded to the above rumors.

However, Bald Brother, who has been following OpenAI's developments, still found traces of the Operator.

However, even if the news is true, OpenAI's action is still a little late~

After all, looking around, it seems that all competitors are ahead :

Needless to say, Anthropic is its strongest rival. It launched related features as early as October, which amazed the AI ​​circle in one fell swoop.

Google, which is always competing secretly, is also likely to launch an agent code-named "Jarvis" in December. According to the schedule of both parties, Google may win this time.

Not to mention the current awkward relationship with Microsoft, which released 10 Agents in one go a day earlier than Anthropic.

Putting these aside, a considerable number of players in our country have also started to take action on Agent.

For example, Baidu demonstrated an Agent operating a mobile phone at the Baidu Cloud Intelligence Conference in September this year:

With just a few words, the agent can help us plan our itinerary and jump between different apps on its own.

Make a plan for a 3-day trip to Shanxi during the National Day holiday. Refer to the Shanxi classics mentioned in "Black Myth: Wukong", and hope to stay in a high-quality, cost-effective hotel, with good reviews preferred and within 500 yuan, and want to plan a self-driving route.

In addition, just after Anthropic, Zhipu also released AutoGLM, which allows AI to use mobile phones like humans; and unlike Claude, which needs to type to make requests, AutoGLM can perform many operations just by speaking.

Even in the AI ​​PC and AI mobile phone circles, major players have focused their attention on this new paradigm.

On October 23, Huawei released Honor MagicOS 9.0, positioning it as a "humanoid assistant" for C-end users. It officially entered the AI ​​Agent stage by connecting the app through a large model base, realizing system-level AI operations.

And just yesterday, Honor officially announced that the first batch of MagicOS 9.0 products began public testing, covering Honor Magic Vs3, V2 series, Magic6 series, and Magic5 series.

In addition, Xiaomi also released the Surge OS 2.0 system, which is equipped with an operating system reconstructed based on the AI ​​big model, transforming the device into an intelligent "personal assistant".

……

From the above, we can see that OpenAI, which has always been a leader, has begun to lag behind in terms of Agent.

2025, belongs to Agent

But on the other hand, it also shows that Agent is likely to become the focus of competition next year.

After all, the lack of momentum for large-model Scaling Law has become a hot topic.

It is reported that OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic have all encountered bottlenecks in launching larger and more powerful model products .

Specifically, OpenAI's next-generation flagship model, code-named "Orion", was revealed to have improved less than expected. Its improvement relative to GPT-4 was smaller than that of GPT-4 relative to GPT-3, and has entered a stage of diminishing returns.

This also indirectly confirms what Altman said, that he might not name the new model GPT-5.

In addition, although Google Gemini 2 is planned to be released soon, it was also revealed that the performance improvement did not meet the expectations of DeepMind's founder.

At the same time, in response to the large cup of Claude 3.5 Opus that netizens have been calling for, Anthropic also quietly deleted the relevant description from its official website.

And Agent has obviously become everyone's new direction.

This prosperous era may be as netizens wish: 2025 belongs to Agent!

Reference links:
[1] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-13/openai-nears-launch-of-ai-agents-to-automate-tasks-for-users
[2] https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1gqn099/openai_nears_launch_of_ai_agent_tool_to_automate/
[3] https://x.com/omarsar0/status/1856802883112767541

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