Goldman Sachs predicts this national team will win the World Cup after 1 million simulations
[Copy link]
On June 14, the quadrennial World Cup kicked off. Since the start of the 2018 Russia World Cup, several favorite teams have performed mediocrely and suffered upsets one after another. However, for many die-hard fans, they don't want to miss this football feast even if they have to stay up late. Recently, even Goldman Sachs, a well-known investment bank in the financial sector, has issued a World Cup research report, trying to use intelligent algorithms to calculate the champion of the "2018 Russia World Cup". However, the reporter of "Daily Economic News" noticed that at the end of the report, Goldman Sachs still said something honest, "Even with fancy calculations, predictions are still highly uncertain, because football is an unpredictable game, but this is also the reason why people will be excited to watch it. ” Brazil is most likely to win the championshipIn this research report, Goldman Sachs stated that they have drawn the following conclusions through a large number of simulations (1 million times): In the most important championship prediction, Brazil will beat Germany in the final. France is more likely to win the championship than Germany, only because it will be eliminated by Brazil in the semi-finals due to grouping. Secondly, Argentina and Spain, which are also favorites to win the championship, will be eliminated by France and Portugal in the quarter-finals. It should be noted that Goldman Sachs also predicts that the host Russia team, which hopes to take advantage of the home court, will be eliminated in the group stage. However, judging from the opening match on June 14, Russia defeated Saudi Arabia 5-0 and accumulated 3 points with Uruguay, which is also in Group A, and has hope of qualifying. In addition, the reason why Goldman Sachs believes that Brazil is the team with the most hope of winning the championship is mainly based on the fact that the current Brazilian team has gathered many stars, as well as the high winning rate and status of recent games. Daily Economic News reporters found that Goldman Sachs used AI to analyze the participating national teams. The specific approach was to put data such as team characteristics, individual player abilities, and recent team performance into four different algorithm models for learning and obtaining results. The collection period was the World Cup and European Cup data since 2005. For example, the German team narrowly defeated the English team in the quarter-finals. German players become favorites In addition to predicting the champion of this World Cup, Goldman Sachs also listed the star lineup of this World Cup. In this star lineup of 11 people plus the head coach, although the German team lost to the Mexican team in the first game, it still became the biggest winner - in addition to the head coach Loew, there are 3 athletes in the star lineup, namely Kroos, Hummels and Kimmich. In addition to the German team, the Brazilian team also has three players shortlisted, namely, Brazil's top star Neymar, Coutinho and Marcelo; the Spanish team has De Gea and Ramos; in addition, Portugal's C Ronaldo, Argentina's Messi and Belgium's De Bruyne are also shortlisted. From this star lineup, Europe and South America are still the main forces in the world of football, with 11 players and head coaches all from Europe and South America.
| 
提升卡
变色卡
千斤顶
京公网安备 11010802033920号
