Analysis of the Global and Chinese 3G IndustryIn-depth Research Report by the Research and Development Department of CITIC SecuritiesCHINA SECURITIES RESEARCHAnalysis of the Current Status and Development Prospects of the Global and Chinese 3G IndustryEvolution, Advantage Comparison and Prospect Analysis of the Three Major 3G StandardsConsidering the support of operators, number of users, technical maturity, industrial chain, difficulty of global roaming, and post-3G evolution path, WCDMA has the greatest advantage, CDMA2000 has a tendency to be gradually weakened, and TD-SCDMA has received high support from the government. It remains to be seen how much it can gain in the 3G era.LTE is likely to become the mainstream technology after 3G, and trial commercialization will be after 2010.3G International Application Status: The world has entered an accelerated development periodWith clear technical routes and clear market application needs, 3G has entered an accelerated development stage worldwide since 2007 and 2008. By June 2008, the total number of WCDMA users reached 253 million, and the number of EV-DO users reached 100 million. Currently, the total number of mobile communication users in the world is 3.66 billion. Excluding CDMA1X users, the total number of 3G users has reached 353 million, accounting for 9.6%; considering CDMA1X users, the total number of 3G users has reached 694 million, accounting for 19.0%. Among them, in Japan, the country with the fastest 3G development, by the end of 2007, its 3G users reached 83.304 million, accounting for 82.9% of the total mobile users. Development of China\'s 3G market: 3G license issuance is imminent. It is predicted that the three major operators will invest 130 billion yuan, 100 billion yuan and 70 billion yuan in 3G in 2009-2011 respectively, and the total investment in 3G in three years will be 300 billion yuan, which is slower than the plan of 280 billion yuan in 2009-2010 predicted by Minister of Industry and Information Technology Li Yizhong. The major operators actively responded to the government\'s deployment to stimulate domestic demand and the need for competition, and the pace of investment in 2009 was faster than we expected. According to the plans of the three major operators, the latest operator will also launch 3G services in the third quarter of 2009. We estimate that if the latest operator builds a network...
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